The NBA Finals are knotted at one game apiece as the Warriors responded to a disappointing Game 1 loss with a dominant 107-88 victory in Game 2. As the series now shifts to Boston, so, too, are the Finals MVP odds shifting after each game. Below, we’ll recap how the market has moved and who stands out as the favorite and best bets.
Before the Finals began, Steph Curry was the odds-on favorite at -116 (implied probability 53.7 percent) to win his first-ever Finals MVP. Curry’s odds to win the MVP coincided with the Warriors entering Game 1 as -150 favorites (implied probability 60 percent) on the series line.
Jayson Tatum’s MVP odds at +149 (implied probability 40.16 percent) led all Celtics, which isn’t a surprise considering the 24-year-old wing has shouldered the load during his team’s Finals run.
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2022 NBA Finals MVP odds: Pre-Finals
After Game 1
With Boston dominating the fourth quarter of Game 1, outscoring the Warriors 40-16 en route to a 120-108 win, Jayson Tatum moved to +130 (implied probability 43.48 percent) and overtook Stephen Curry +145 (implied probability 40.82 percent) as the betting favorite to win Finals MVP.
Additionally, Boston’s series price shifted from +130 up to -165 (implied probability 62.26 percent.)
After closing as -150 series favorites, the Warriors found themselves as series underdogs at +145.
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Updated 2022 NBA Finals MVP odds: After Game 2
The Celtics’ inability to run their offensive actions resulted in a rough offensive showing in Game 2.
The Celtics ended Game 2 with an 89.8 offensive rating (points scored per 100 possessions) compared to the Warriors’ 110.3 offensive rating. The Celtics’ 19.4-turnover percentage was also killer for a team hopeful of going up 2-0.
With the series odds close to a pick ‘em price, here’s how the current MVP odds stack up approaching Game 3:
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
NBA Finals MVP favorite: Steph Curry, Warriors (-139)
If you’re interested in betting the Warriors to win the 2022 NBA Finals, consider making a wager on Curry to win MVP. Unless Curry goes down with an injury limiting his playing ability (knock on wood), at this point he’s close to a shoo-in to eradicate the narrative and win his first-ever Finals MVP (barring injury, of course).Finals MVP sleeper: Jaylen Brown, Celtics (+720)
With the third-shortest odds, Brown might be a little too overqualified to be a “sleeper,” but he’s really the only other player aside from Curry and Tatum worth investing in at this point. He was instrumental in the Celtics’ Game 1 win, stuffing the stat sheet with 24 points, seven rebounds, and five assists. He also had a decent Game 2 with 17 points, six rebounds, and three assists despite poor shooting. He’s clearly going to play a key role in any Boston victories, and the numbers will be on par with Tatum’s.